Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 9.879120 10.987346 12.180179 13.561403 15.119066 16.823978 18.834971
2025-07-13 8.450718 10.006305 11.800658 14.031366 16.741107 19.939716 24.021524
2025-07-20 7.375195 9.222960 11.487821 14.487247 18.383491 23.311817 30.078497
2025-07-27 6.439757 8.450558 11.051764 14.698049 19.732518 26.519415 36.498147
2025-08-03 5.574306 7.630822 10.420814 14.535252 20.537723 29.114299 42.549506
2025-08-10 4.866089 6.917265 9.821225 14.304960 21.183966 31.555881 48.796509
2025-08-17 4.290467 6.309527 9.280371 14.063658 21.750522 33.934810 55.351095
2025-08-24 3.838160 5.822352 8.847156 13.910098 22.406627 36.524662 62.697229
2025-08-31 3.481157 5.434702 8.512414 13.854599 23.193931 39.425070 71.097299
2025-09-07 3.252055 5.220046 8.421145 14.178538 24.657589 43.700581 82.822373
2025-09-14 2.977584 4.898241 8.112099 14.078832 25.339694 46.648384 92.537928
2025-09-21 2.706789 4.552553 7.721358 13.777117 25.592392 48.802138 101.032985
2025-09-28 2.481039 4.266767 7.412762 13.603783 26.099575 51.607345 111.686906
2025-10-05 2.363863 4.161751 7.416942 14.025850 27.858572 57.290835 130.145213
2025-10-12 2.256619 4.063248 7.421354 14.448095 29.684984 63.451482 151.254467
2025-10-19 2.130875 3.916832 7.317829 14.636102 31.037391 68.800793 171.693881
2025-10-26 1.977395 3.701835 7.057116 14.459782 31.549807 72.285149 188.117175
2025-11-02 1.833387 3.491631 6.784058 14.221655 31.883154 75.397325 204.330712
2025-11-09 1.703088 3.296762 6.522524 13.976040 32.161585 78.424909 221.120347
2025-11-16 1.593477 3.134101 6.311907 13.819751 32.635686 82.053006 240.743542
2025-11-23 1.502341 3.001598 6.152287 13.762187 33.350842 86.469628 264.142710
2025-11-30 1.449287 2.944736 6.151044 14.082068 35.098685 94.115931 300.585060
2025-12-07 1.368137 2.820043 5.986810 13.982044 35.706575 98.591587 327.419489